Tuesday, 9 February 2016

Stadiums in Sydanee

We have a number of proposals to build new stadiums or change existing ones in Sydney.
It all involves public money.

The first question is why?  If these proposals stack up why couldn't say the Thugby League and Thugby Union Associations do as joint venture themselves. They would be raking in the money.

The answer I believe lies in examining one proposal. Get rid of of the Sports Ground which seats 40,00 and build a brand new stadium for about a bil which seats 55,00.

This is ludicrous. The present stadium is rarely full. It would be worse if one built a larger stadium.It would only be filled for the Sydney Derby if both teams are playing well and a home semi-final for the Waratahs.
There is an argument which says the best match of the NRL should play there  indeed replicate what the AFL have done in Melbourne.
Sydney ain't Melbourne. Fans do not like to travel  (possibly because it is so hard). I am not convinced.

Enlarging Parramatta stadium makes sense given the crowds for the Wanderers but that is only for around  8  months and that assumes continued success for the Wanderers. Remember last season anyone!

Obviously the NSW Government has too much money at present to entertain such silly and wasteful projects.

Monday, 8 February 2016

Tax Reform again.

The PM has the wobbles on tax reform we are told.

He sees little of the benefits of increasing the GST to 15%.  Yep John Quiggin nailed it not so long ago.

now let us go back to basics. What is needed?

Go and read the Henry review. no need for any new investigation.

Firstly go and get rid of all those inefficient taxes State governments impose. If those same governments broaden their payroll taxes and had no exemption the incidence is almost the same as the GST. Do the sane to land tax.

Wella. States have more money and economic activity is enhanced.

Next investigate why revenue has not got back to anything like normal levels since the GFC. Is this a structural problem or not?

If it is new taxes will have to be introduced or old taxes increased. There is no way there cuts to health and education can be bloodless. Becoming more 'efficient' does not cut the mustard.

Top of my list is what to do with the extravagant tax concession to high income earners on Superannuation. We should just treat it as income.
We should ask why anyone has tax deductions. This merely assists high income earners as well.
quite obviously either impose a carbon tax or bring back an ETS.

Okay there is a start.

Sunday, 7 February 2016

Is the God of Muslims and Christians the same ?

Late last year Professor Marycia Hawkins caused a stir at Wheaton College by wearing a hijab for Lent and claiming that Muslims and Christians worship the same God.

She quite clearly breached Wheaton's statement of faith.She was therefore justly suspended.

I will not get into an intricate theological dispute but rather outline why the above is an absurd claim.

  • The God of the quaran and the bible contradict each other. They cannot even agree on Jesus Christ. Either he is a mere prophet or is god as man. He cannot be both.
  • Thus Christians believe Jesus rose from the dead on the third day. If he did not Christianity is shite. Muslims do not believe this.
  • The God of the bible does not allow sinful people into his heavenly Kingdom. They have to be justified. The god of the Quran allows anyone , if he is not having a bad hair day, whose good deeds outweigh their bad or dies in a jihad.
  •  God has done what people need to  do to enter his kingdom. They simply have to accept it. On the other hand God has nothing to do with muslims entering his Kingdom. They do it regardless of God.
  • Muslims rile about the thought God becoming a man and then dying on a cross for anyone.

Thursday, 4 February 2016

Around the Traps 5/2/16

It is time for Around the Traps again

Northern America
Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)
Genial Dave Giles ( econometrics)
Dianne Coyle ( quirky + book reviews)
Vox wonk

Tuesday, 2 February 2016

Are all muslims potential terrorists?

Are all Muslims potential terrorists to people in Australia?

Okay before I start I should sat Islam like ALL religions is satanic. The reason being it makes the HUMAN the person responsible on  if and how they get to heaven/paradise et al.

 Christianity is NOT a religion but this is a topic for another day.

When you examine any terrorist acts made in the Western world you will find no shias involved at all. It appears they and particularly Persians like to outsource this act out particularly in proxy wars they are involved however I am not talking about that at present.. They clearly do not believe dying in a jihad will lead automatically to paradise.

Moreover only one particular 'version' of Sunni islam ( which emanates from Saudi Arabia and from which NO Western country has taken no action on) apparently lead some Muslims to terrorist acts.

This is what people in Al Qaeda and Isis believe in.

Thus no only a small proportion of Muslims can be potential terrorists. It means of course the intelligence agencies job is much easier than most people think!

Monday, 1 February 2016

Peer Review

Andrew Gelman has a must read on peer review. 
So it is over to Andrew.


Sunday, 31 January 2016

The ALP and Gonski

The ALP have made a big splash about committing to 'Gonksi' reforms to education.

This policy shows the benefit of having the parliamentary budget office ( PBO).

They are costed by the PBO and the ALP have also given us measures which will pay for the policy.

Now I do have some trouble in agreeing to all of Gonksi's recommendation although as a general rule a needs based policy is a reasonable statement. ( I much prefer a finlandisation of education policy.)

Having said all that any person saying the policy is uncosted is simply lying or speaking through wilful ignorance.

One can criticise the policy all that one wants but to say the policy is unfunded is patently false.