Thursday, 16 February 2017

Around the Traps 17/2/17

It is time for Around the Traps again

Northern America
Andrew Gelman ( mainly stats)
Genial Dave Giles (econometrics)
Dianne Coyle  (quirky + book reviews)
Vox Wonk

Wednesday, 15 February 2017

Why Trump is evil

More chaos in the chaos house yet again.
This time we see looney tune Flynn 'resigning'.

For four different opinion on this see:

We should note the FIRST highly specific allegations against Flynn was made in the Wall Street Journal. It was the follow up by the Washington Post with detailed notes on the phone calls which completely sunk Flynn.
Republican Senators want to follow this up. 'What did the President know and when did he know it?'

This issue is but a template of showing how incompetent the present chaos house is..

I want to concentrate on the evil actions of the famous sloppily drafted EO on 'immigration'

First we should realise all three looney tunes  i.e Trump, Bannon and Flynn, all believe in fake news. Bannon had made a career out of it. 

HOWEVER Trump and Flynn would have known the EO they were proposing had no evidence to back it up with. ( The Courtsd asked for it but never got it.) They both would have been briefed to that effect by their national security experts. There is academic support for this as well. Refugees do not come to the USA or Australia for that matter as terrorists to kill  people.

Terrorists these days of ISIS are home grown. When people of Trump's ilk spew out their false information it is fodder to ISIS's propaganda machine to boost home grown terrorists.

Why does Trump deliberately lie about refugee being terrorists? He can't say no. He simply cannot be seen as supporting policy which is plainly wrong.
Thus he puts the citizens of the USA at risk by trying to implement policy which has no basis to it AND successfully reinforces false perceptions of some people in the USA.

This is evil

Whoopsy I forgot to say the Acting Attorney General Sally Yates warned Trump about Flynn

double whoopsy. for those who do not know Flynn broke the LOGAN act. ( note to self do not assume)

Tuesday, 14 February 2017

The Energy market is simply not working.

Australia's energy market is just not working.

We had the extraordinary effort by the regulator last week who simply allowed South Australia to have a blackout rather than doing their job.

Previous blackouts in South Australia have occurred because the transfer of power from state to state had continual problems.
Steve from Brisbane  looked at this issue with an article with some great links.

It does appear the system is being gamed by major players. One of the great ironies is that with gas on export parity pricing few producers want to put on gas generators such as Pelican Point in South Australia. This is why the regulator needed to order them to be on standby last week.

No wonder Bruce Mountain wants the States to take back their responsibilities in energy.

Energy costs are not going to go down. It is problematic whether a coal powered plant would get finance these days but they are not cheaper than plants using renewables. If gas is going to be used then prices are going to have to go up big time.

The energy market needs to be completely and utterly re-engineered. The regulator needs changing as well.

THIS is highly pertinent. Thanks Jim Rose

Greg Jericho makes sense.

Monday, 13 February 2017

The Libs are playing with fire with One Nation

The main argument yesterday was the decision by the WA Libs to preference One Nation in the upper house instead of the Nationals.
The quid pro quo is that One Nation preferences the Libs in the lower house.

It seems as Colin Barnett has no knowledge of history. Antony Green has a very informative article on One Nation , preferences the LNP and the 1998 state election.

If a person wants to make One Nation a major player in politics then exchanging preferences is the best way to do it.
A number of people in the Federal liberal party have made comments that One Nation has changed. It is now sophisticated, it is economically rational, it is no longer racist.

I say bollocks (a highly technical term) to that. John Quiggin says what I wanted to.

One nation can be said to be socially conservative but highly interventionist in economics.

They want to return to the 1950s when the government intervened in everything that moved.

They are totally against economic liberalism and deregulation of most industries.

The last time the Libs gave preferences to One Nation they ensured One Nation seats they were never going to win otherwise.  One Nation blew up internally. It is more likely this would occur again however if it does not then the Libs will have to accede to One Nation demands with regard to policy.
That is highly dangerous given how racist, xenophobic not to mention ignorant they are.


Dom Knight who really should be hosting the RN breakfast show instead  of Fran Kelly writes a terrific column HERE.  
Compare that with Sinclair Davidson who thinks Hanson made an impressive speech without telling us why or how. 

Thursday, 9 February 2017

Around the Traps 10/2/17

It is time for Around the Traps again.

Northern America
Andrew Gelman (mainly stats)
Genial Dave Giles (econometrics)
Dianne Coyle (quirky + book reviews)
Vox Wonk

Wednesday, 8 February 2017

Cory Bernardi

Cory Bernardi has left the Liberal party.

Big deal. He never showed up as an down under Keith Joseph nor is he an outstanding orator.
Is he a budding political genius. Nah. I saw him debate Penny Wong on same sex marriage at the Canberra press club. We should remember Penny Wong is a highly unimpressive woman. She comes from the Wayne Swan you must always be on topic political school thus we never know what she actually believes in.
Yet despite all this an despite me being very much against same sex marriage she easily bested Bernardi.

He claims to to a social conservative and economic liberal. Again this should appeal to me however Bernardi has yet to recognise the conflicts that occur when one is both. Most social conservative parties either here or overseas are economic conservative. They see the government as a controlling influence over the market as it was in the 50s and 60s.

As for the political implications. I cannot  disagree all that much with Nick Economou.
If he was a man of principle he would resign his seat just as Don Chip should have many many moons ago.

See here for example.

It was highly significant that when asked what policies Turnbull had undertaken that were liberal not conservative ( my paraphrase) he could not name one.

It ain't even interesting

Tuesday, 7 February 2017

The Royal Commission into child abuse

I have to admit I was indifferent to the setting up of this royal commission.
We know homosexuals make up a bit less that 2% of the population and paedophiles are even less.
I expected to the RC to uncover some child abuse but not a lot.
I was badly and horrifically wrong. See Steve from Brisbane

It is quite clear that paedophiles saw opportunities in various agencies and organisations.
Let us be clear. This was not a case of boy love as repulsive as that is.

It was a case of sexual assault and in a lot of cases rape. It if not destroyed then caused many childrens'  lives to be seriously mangled.
It was the case of these adults abusing their power position and inflicting violence onto the children.

In a lot of cases people in authority knew what was occurring and did nothing. That this occurred in organisations which are allegedly built on the scriptures is an absolute disgrace.

The Catholic denomination was not the only organisation where this occurred but unquestionably by far the largest.
I suspect the reason is because paedophiles knew this was the easiest way to prey on children. I do have sympathy here as paedophilia was essentially unheard of in the 60s. It occurred of course but was rarely spoken about.

However it is clear too many people in high places showed a blind eye when allegations were made time after time.

One last thing some people ( I'm looking at you Steve and you Soony) allege this occurred as a substitute for not having sex with women like most other males.

This is absurd.
If you are this 'frustrated' you would take this out in either adultery or fornication with adult females.
Sex with boys which is what mainly happened is completely different. Raping boys more so.

We can only hope this disgraceful situation never happens again.